Roughly 216,000 more people moved out of California than moved into it during the year ending July 2025, according to the California Department of Finance. That figure is large, although it is not a record, since the peak of about 250,000 came in 2022 and 2023. The state’s total population also continued to grow across both of those years, because births and international arrivals more than offset the losses to other states. A more accurate description of what is happening, then, is that one particular kind of household has begun to leave, and it is usually a household that earns a good salary and still cannot afford to buy a house.
This guide sets out the numbers you need in order to make the decision for yourself. It covers what you would actually save in Texas, Florida, Arizona or Nevada, what professional movers charge in 2026, and the handful of costs that tend to erase the savings people were counting on.
Key Points
- California’s median home price is roughly $782,000 (Redfin, May 2026), which is about 2.3 times the Texas median of $344,000. Housing accounts for most of the savings that households achieve by leaving, and every other line item is small beside it.
- The 13.3% top rate of California income tax applies only to income above $1 million. A single filer earning $150,000 pays closer to $9,800, which is a real cost but considerably less than the figures quoted on most websites.
- Hiring movers within California averages $122 per hour, or between $460 and $4,050 for a complete local move. An interstate move costs between $3,000 and $18,000, and a typical three-bedroom household heading to Texas should expect to pay somewhere around $4,000 to $9,000.
- The savings are genuine but smaller than most articles suggest. Home insurance in Florida averages more than $7,000 a year, the highest of any state, and that single expense can absorb most of what a household gains by escaping California income tax.
Why Are People Leaving California?
Housing Is the Central Issue
California’s median home price stood at roughly $782,000 in May 2026, according to Redfin. If you look only at single-family homes, the California Association of Realtors recorded a record median of $930,260 in the same month. The statistic that explains the most, however, is the affordability rate, and C.A.R. estimates that only about 18% of California households can afford to buy a median-priced home.
That number captures the pressure better than any comparison of tax rates does. Californians have always known that the state is expensive, and for decades they accepted the trade. What has changed is that households earning well above the state median now find themselves unable to buy at all. A couple earning $180,000 between them in San Jose would be considered high-income almost anywhere else in the country, and they are still renting. Those are the people who have started to leave.
Income Tax, and What You Actually Pay
California levies the highest top rate of income tax in the country at 13.3%. What most articles leave out is that the rate applies only to income above $1 million. Because the brackets are progressive, the amount an ordinary household actually pays is far lower than that headline figure suggests.
| Household | Approximate CA income tax | Effective rate | TX / FL / NV |
|---|---|---|---|
| $130,000, married filing jointly | about $4,200 | about 3.2% | $0 |
| $150,000, single | about $9,800 | about 6.5% | $0 |
| $400,000, single | about $34,000 | about 8.5% | $0 |
These are estimates based on the standard deduction and W-2 income only. Your own figure will depend on your deductions, your filing status and the mix of your income, so please confirm it with a CPA before you make any decision that rests on it.
A middle-class family therefore saves in the region of $4,000 a year on income tax by leaving the state. That is worth having, and it compounds over a working lifetime, but it is not the sum that transforms a household’s finances. The housing gap does that. If you come across a website claiming that a family earning $130,000 pays $17,000 in California income tax, the author has simply multiplied gross income by the top marginal rate, which is not how the brackets work.
The Rest of the Cost of Living
California’s overall cost of living index sits at roughly 142 against a national baseline of 100, which puts the state about 42% above the national average. Utilities, groceries, fuel and services all run above national norms, and electricity and gasoline are the most conspicuous of them. None of these expenses would drive anyone out of the state on its own. Taken together with housing, they explain why a good salary in California does not feel like one.
The Job Market Has Weakened
California’s unemployment rate has been running near the top of the national range, and the C.A.R. forecast for 2026 projects it rising to about 5.8%. The technology layoffs that began in 2022 have never fully reversed, and several large employers have moved their headquarters to states with lower operating costs. The old bargain, under which residents paid roughly double for housing because they earned roughly double the salary, becomes much harder to justify once the salary premium narrows while the housing premium holds firm.
Where Are Californians Moving To?
Texas
Texas remains the single most popular destination for people leaving California, and the reasons are straightforward. The state levies no income tax, the median home price is around $344,000, and there are substantial job markets in technology, energy, healthcare and finance.
One correction is worth making here, because the error appears almost everywhere. Austin is not a cheap city. Its median sale price is roughly $542,000, which puts it about 30% below the California median rather than the 40 to 60% that is commonly claimed. If price is your priority, Houston at around $350,000 and San Antonio will serve you far better. Austin offers continuity with the technology scene you are leaving behind, whereas Houston offers the savings you came for.
If you are specifically trading the Bay Area for the Silicon Hills, you may find our guide on moving from San Francisco to Austin useful.
Florida
Florida offers no state income tax, no tax on Social Security or pension income, and warm winters, all of which makes it a strong fit for retirees and for remote workers who can live anywhere.
Before you commit to it, however, please read the insurance section further down this page. Florida has the most expensive homeowners insurance in the United States, averaging somewhere between $7,100 and $10,200 a year depending on which analysis you consult, against a national average of roughly $2,500. For a great many households, that one line item cancels out the income tax saving entirely. Any article telling you that Florida insurance costs less than insurance in Texas has the comparison backwards.
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Deep Dive Comparison
How do these two coastal giants compare across climate, culture, and cost? |
Arizona
Arizona is one of the better propositions on this list, and one of the most frequently misdescribed. The state does levy an income tax, but it does so at a flat 2.5%, which is the lowest rate of any state that taxes income at all. Its effective property tax rate, at roughly 0.48 to 0.63%, is likewise among the lowest in the country.
Consider a single filer earning $150,000. In Arizona that person owes about $3,750 in state income tax, compared with roughly $9,800 in California. Set against Texas, where the bill would be nothing, Arizona costs an extra $3,750 a year, but its property tax rate is roughly a third of the Texas rate, so on a $400,000 home the two states come out close to even. Once you add a familiar desert climate and Phoenix-area homes in the $400,000s, Arizona works out better than Texas for a good many households, despite the fact that it taxes income at all.
Nevada
Nevada combines zero income tax with a low property tax rate of roughly 0.60% and a three-hour drive back to Southern California. It tends to suit households whose family ties still matter and who would rather not buy a plane ticket every time there is a birthday. Las Vegas leans towards hospitality and service work, while Reno offers manufacturing, logistics and easy access to Tahoe.
North Carolina, Tennessee and South Carolina
The Southeast does not match Texas or Florida on taxes, but it holds up well once you look at the whole picture. North Carolina’s Research Triangle draws technology and biotech workers, and Charlotte is one of the largest banking centers in the country. Tennessee levies no tax on wage income at all. Charleston offers coastal living without coastal California prices, and Greenville pairs mountain access with a small-city character that people tend to like more than they expected to. These are the destinations that suit households wanting an ordinary life rather than a tax strategy, and the people who move there tend to stay.
California vs. Texas, Florida and Arizona
| Metric | California | Texas | Florida | Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median home price | about $782,000 | about $344,000 | about $390,000 | about $430,000 |
| Income tax (top rate) | 13.3%, but only above $1M | 0% | 0% | 2.5% flat |
| Effective property tax | about 0.7% | about 1.6% | about 0.8% | about 0.5% |
| Average home insurance | about $2,000* | about $4,900 | about $7,100 and up, highest in the US | about $2,000 |
| Cost of living index | about 142 | about 96 | about 103 | about 110 |
| Strongest sectors | Tech, entertainment | Tech, energy, finance | Tourism, healthcare, finance | Tech, healthcare, logistics |
*The California average is somewhat misleading, because insurers have withdrawn from wildfire-exposed areas and homeowners who end up on the state FAIR Plan pay substantially more than the average implies. An index of 100 represents the national average, so California at 142 sits about 42% above it.
The pattern worth noticing across that table is that states without an income tax raise their revenue somewhere else. Texas collects it through property tax, and Florida collects it, in effect, through insurance premiums. No state is giving anything away, so the real question you are answering is which bill you would rather receive.
How Much Money Will You Save Leaving California?
The table below compares monthly costs for a family of four leaving Los Angeles for a suburb of Dallas or Houston, holding square footage and general lifestyle roughly constant.
| Monthly expense | Los Angeles | Texas metro | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing (mortgage or rent) | $4,200 | $2,400 | −$1,800 |
| Property tax and insurance | $620 | $940 | +$320 |
| Utilities, including summer air conditioning | $290 | $310 | +$20 |
| Groceries | $1,150 | $1,000 | −$150 |
| Fuel and transport | $480 | $390 | −$90 |
| Childcare for two children | $1,800 | $1,400 | −$400 |
| State income tax at $130,000, married filing jointly | $350 | $0 | −$350 |
| Net monthly change | −$2,450 |
The difference comes to roughly $2,450 a month, or about $29,000 a year, which is a significant sum for most families. It is worth noticing where that money comes from, though. Housing and childcare together account for about 90% of it, the income tax saving contributes only $350 a month, and both property tax and utilities actually go up rather than down.
This matters because it tells you what to optimize for. A household that chases the income tax number will tend to choose the wrong state, whereas a household that chases the housing number will usually choose the right one.
Two circumstances will break the arithmetic above, and both are common:
- A pay cut. Reducing a $130,000 salary by 10% costs $13,000 in gross income, which consumes roughly 45% of the annual saving. Get any offer in writing before you list the house.
- Renting rather than buying. The gap between Los Angeles and Dallas is much wider for buyers than it is for renters, so a household that plans to rent at the other end should expect to save around half of what the table shows.
Planning a move to the Lone Star State?
Our full breakdown covers the long-term financial picture, the trade-offs that rarely get mentioned, and the differences between the major Texas metros.
Average Cost of Hiring Movers in California
Before you can bank any of those savings you have to pay for the move itself, so it is worth being precise about what that costs in 2026.
Local Moves Within California
Moves of less than 100 miles are billed by the hour. The statewide average is about $122 per hour, and most companies impose a two-hour minimum. In Los Angeles and the Bay Area you should expect to pay between $90 and $150 per hour for each mover on the crew.
| Home size | Typical crew | Hours | Typical total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | 2 movers | 2 to 3 | $460 to $700 |
| 1 bedroom | 2 movers | 3 to 5 | $600 to $1,000 |
| 2 bedrooms | 3 movers | 4 to 6 | $900 to $1,700 |
| 3 bedrooms | 3 to 4 movers | 6 to 9 | $1,600 to $2,600 |
| 4 to 5 or more bedrooms | 4 to 5 movers | 8 to 12 | $2,600 to $4,050 |
Long-Distance Moves Out of California
Interstate moves are priced on an entirely different basis, using the weight of your shipment and the mileage rather than the hours your crew works. Across all household sizes and distances the range runs from about $3,000 to $18,000. The table below shows where the common routes tend to fall for a two or three bedroom household.
| Route | Estimate for 2 to 3 bedrooms |
|---|---|
| California to Nevada | $2,000 to $4,500 |
| California to Arizona | $2,500 to $5,500 |
| California to Texas | $4,000 to $9,000 |
| California to Tennessee or North Carolina | $5,500 to $12,000 |
| California to Florida | $6,000 to $13,000 and up |
These ranges reflect typical market pricing in 2026. A full packing service, storage, or specialty items such as a piano, a safe or heavy gym equipment will push you toward the upper end of each band. Ask for a binding written estimate given after a video or in-home survey, because a quote offered over the telephone is only a guess.
What Drives Your Price
- Weight rather than rooms. Interstate carriers price by the pound, which makes decluttering before the survey the most profitable hour you will spend on the whole move. Every thousand pounds you leave behind comes straight off the quote.
- Timing. Summer, weekends and the last three days of any month all cost 20 to 30% more than the alternatives, so a Tuesday in October is the cheapest day to move anywhere in California.
- Access. Stairs, the absence of an elevator, narrow streets, a long carry from the truck to the door, or a street too tight for a full trailer will each add either labor hours or a shuttle fee. Mention these problems when you request the estimate, because the crew will find them regardless, and finding them on the day costs you considerably more.
- Packing. A full packing service typically adds between $1,000 and $3,000. Many households settle on a hybrid arrangement in which they pack the clothes and books themselves and leave the kitchen, artwork and electronics to the crew.
Movers, Containers and Rental Trucks Compared
For the same household, a moving container costs roughly 30% less than a full-service move and a rental truck roughly 55% less, though both of those figures come before you add fuel, equipment rental and the value of your own time. California gasoline averages about $4.66 a gallon, so the saving on a rental truck narrows quickly across a cross-country haul once you have paid for hotels and two thousand miles of driving. If you want something in between, labor-only crews charge about $61 to $81 per mover per hour, which means you supply the vehicle and they do the lifting at each end.
Check the License Before You Pay a Deposit
Movers operating within California must hold a permit from the California Public Utilities Commission, which appears on their paperwork as a Cal-T number. Movers crossing state lines must hold a USDOT number registered with the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration. Verify both before any money changes hands. A company that will not give you its number, or that will not conduct a walkthrough before quoting, is a company you are likely to be arguing with later.
Moving Out of California Checklist
Six to Eight Weeks Before
- Get three binding written estimates from licensed movers, each of them based on a video or in-home survey rather than a phone call.
- Confirm the job at the other end. If you are transferring or taking a new role, get the terms in writing before you list the house.
- Check that your professional license will transfer, which is covered in more detail below. This single item has derailed more moves than anything else on the list.
- Look up the driver’s license and vehicle registration deadlines in your destination state, since they range from 10 to 30 days after you establish residency.
- Start decluttering in earnest, because you are paying by the pound and everything you sell or donate now is money you keep.
Two to Four Weeks Before
- File your change of address with USPS.
- Notify your banks, credit card companies, insurers and investment accounts, along with the IRS and the California Franchise Tax Board.
- Request your medical and school records and arrange new providers where you can.
- Book your DMV appointment in the destination state, since they are commonly filled weeks in advance.
Within Thirty Days of Arriving
- Apply for your driver’s license, bringing your California license, proof of identity, proof of your Social Security number, and two proofs of residency such as a utility bill, a lease or your mortgage documents.
- Register your vehicle, which will require the title, proof of insurance and proof of residency. Some states will also want an emissions test first.
- Document your residency as you go, including utility accounts, the lease or deed, voter registration and a local bank branch. The reasons for keeping all of this are set out in the residency section below.
What People Get Wrong About Leaving California
1. Florida Insurance Is the Most Expensive in the Country
This is the most expensive misunderstanding on the list. Homeowners insurance in Florida averages between roughly $7,100 and $10,200 a year, which is the highest of any state and somewhere between three and four times the national average. The causes are the cost of reinsurance and the state’s litigation environment, and although the reforms passed in 2023 have slowed the increases, they have not reversed them. Citizens, the state-run insurer of last resort, is now the largest insurer in Florida, which tells you most of what you need to know about the market.
The practical advice is simple enough. Obtain an actual insurance quote for the actual address before you make an offer, rather than relying on a state average that may have nothing to do with the house you are buying. A wind mitigation inspection, together with a roof that meets current code, can move the premium by thousands of dollars.
2. Texas Property Tax Is More Than Twice California’s
The effective property tax rate in Texas is around 1.6%, compared with roughly 0.7% in California, which works out at about $6,400 a year on a $400,000 home. There is a second difference that matters more over time. California’s Proposition 13 caps annual increases in assessed value at 2%, whereas Texas reassesses at market value, so your bill grows as the market does. A family that saves $4,000 in income tax and then pays $6,400 in property tax has not come out ahead on taxes at all, although it has still come out well ahead on the price of the house.
3. Professional Licenses Do Not Transfer Automatically
Attorneys, physicians, nurses, therapists, accountants, contractors and real estate agents should all assume that a California license will not transfer automatically. Some states maintain reciprocity agreements, while others require re-examination or a period of supervised practice. Check with the licensing board in your destination state before you list your house rather than afterwards, because six months unable to practice will wipe out two years of savings.
4. California May Not Agree That You Have Left
If you work remotely for a California employer from an address in Texas, the Franchise Tax Board may take the view that you remain a California resident. The state applies a closest connections test, which looks at where your home, your family, your vehicles, your doctors, your bank and your voter registration actually are.
Changing your mailing address does not constitute moving, and the fact pattern that most often attracts an audit is a household that keeps its California house as a primary residence while claiming residency in Texas. If you are going to move, move properly and document it thoroughly as you go.
5. Capital Gains Timing on the California House
The federal exclusion covers $250,000 of gain for single filers and $500,000 for married couples filing jointly, provided you have lived in the home for two of the previous five years. A great many California homes held for any length of time have gains well beyond those thresholds. Speak to a CPA about the timing of the sale relative to your change of residency before you sell, because this is a five-figure decision and one of the few places on this page where an hour of professional advice reliably pays for itself.
The Climate Trade-Off
A move can make perfect financial sense and still make you miserable. California’s Mediterranean climate is unusual, and most people underestimate what they are giving up until they live through their first August somewhere else.
Humidity Is Not the Same as Heat
Heat in California breaks at sunset, whereas in Texas and across the Southeast it does not, because humidity holds night-time temperatures above 80°F and makes outdoor evenings unpleasant for months at a stretch. Budget for air conditioning that runs continuously from June through September.
Storm Season Is Real
Hurricane season runs from June to November along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, and it is the principal reason Florida insurance costs what it does. Arizona trades that risk for stretches of 110°F and above that last for months, which will feel familiar to Southern Californians but considerably amplified.
One piece of advice above all others: visit your target city in August rather than in March, because everywhere in the country is pleasant in March.
Should You Leave California?
Leaving tends to make sense when you cannot buy a house despite earning a good salary, when your job is either portable or already waiting for you at the other end, when your professional license transfers cleanly, and when your family commitments can survive the distance.
Leaving tends not to make sense when your career genuinely requires a California address, when the move would cost you more than about 15% of your salary, when you own a home protected by Proposition 13 with a low assessed value and a mortgage at 3%, or when you have aging parents nearby and you would be the one flying back every few months.
That third consideration deserves more weight than it usually gets. If you bought before 2021, your fixed rate and your capped assessment are assets that you cannot buy back once you have sold them, and exchanging a 3% mortgage for one at 6.5% will erase a substantial part of the price difference between the two states before you have unpacked a single box.
Some people would rather live modestly in California than comfortably elsewhere, and that is a legitimate preference rather than a failure of arithmetic. What matters is that whichever way you decide, you decide on the basis of accurate figures rather than on someone’s inflated tax math.
If you want to stay within reach of the state, Nevada and Arizona will keep you inside a day’s drive while capturing most of the tax and housing benefit. A growing number of Californians are also looking considerably further afield, and you can read our report on why Californians are moving abroad if that appeals.
Leaving the Los Angeles area?
Our LA team handles the traffic patterns, permit rules and long-haul logistics that are specific to Southern California departures. You can find the details on our page for Los Angeles long distance moving services.
Moving Out of California: FAQs
How many people are leaving California?
California lost about 216,000 more residents to other states than it gained during the year ending July 2025, according to the California Department of Finance. That is up from roughly 140,000 the previous year, though it remains below the peak of about 250,000 recorded in 2022 and 2023. It is worth adding that California’s overall population still grew in both years, because births and international arrivals more than offset the losses to other states.
Why are people leaving California?
Housing is the main reason by a wide margin, and only about 18% of California households can now afford a median-priced home. Income tax and the general cost of living matter too, but they are secondary, since the tax saving for a typical middle-class family comes to around $4,000 a year while the housing gap is worth roughly five times that.
How much money will I save by moving out of California?
A family of four moving from Los Angeles to a Texas metro typically saves around $2,400 to $2,500 a month, or roughly $29,000 a year, assuming they buy at the other end and do not take a significant pay cut. Housing and childcare account for about 90% of that total. Households that rent rather than buy should expect to save considerably less.
How much does it cost to hire movers in California?
Local moves average about $122 an hour and total between $460 for a studio and $4,050 for a home of five bedrooms or more. Interstate moves out of California run from $3,000 to $18,000 and are priced by weight and mileage, so a three-bedroom household heading to Texas will usually land somewhere between $4,000 and $9,000.
What is the cheapest month to move out of California?
Anywhere between October and April will be cheaper than the summer, and a midweek date that avoids the last three days of the month will be cheaper still. Summer weekends and month-end dates run 20 to 30% higher than the alternatives.
Does Arizona have a state income tax?
Yes, but it is a flat 2.5%, which is the lowest rate of any state that taxes income at all. Combined with an effective property tax rate near 0.5%, Arizona often works out better than Texas on total tax burden for homeowners, even though Texas has no income tax whatsoever.
Is Florida cheaper than California?
On housing and income tax it is substantially cheaper. On home insurance it is not, since Florida averages upwards of $7,100 a year, the highest of any state and roughly three times the national average. Get a real quote for the specific address before you buy anything.
Moving from San Diego? You can avoid the I-5 headaches altogether with our San Diego relocation guide and services.
Do I need to register my car right away in my new state?
Most states require registration within 10 to 20 days of your establishing residency, and a driver’s license within 10 to 30 days. Check the rule for your particular state, because the deadlines differ and the penalties are entirely avoidable.
Will my professional license transfer?
That depends on your profession and on where you are going. Some states maintain reciprocity agreements, while others require re-examination or a period of supervised practice. Verify the position with the licensing board in your destination state before you commit to the move.
Can I keep California residency while living in another state?
If you physically live somewhere else, you should establish residency there. The Franchise Tax Board applies a closest connections test and may still treat you as a California resident if your home, family, vehicles and financial life have all stayed behind. Document the move properly through your utilities, your lease or deed, your voter registration and your licenses.
Departing the Bay Area? From San Jose to San Francisco, we handle the complex northern removals. Connect with our Bay Area team.
Get a Real Number for Your Move
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Sources
- California Department of Finance, E-2 Population Estimates and Components of Change (net domestic migration)
- U.S. Census Bureau, Vintage 2025 Population Estimates
- Redfin, California Housing Market and Texas Housing Market (median sale prices, May 2026)
- California Association of Realtors, 2026 Housing Market Forecast (affordability rate and unemployment projection)
- Tax Foundation, Arizona Tax Rates and Rankings 2026 (flat 2.5% income tax and effective property tax rate)
- Insurance.com, Average Homeowners Insurance Rates by State 2026
- NerdWallet, Average Homeowners Insurance Cost 2026
- moveBuddha, California Moving Costs (hourly rates and totals by home size, July 2026)






